Statistics
Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient (r) and R-squared from paired data
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Pearson r
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R² (Coefficient of Determination)
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Interpretation
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Data Summary
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How it works
The Pearson correlation coefficient measures the strength and direction of a straight-line relationship between two variables, on a scale from -1 to +1. Zero means no linear association, which is not the same as no relationship.
Formula
r = (n·Σxy − Σx·Σy) / √( (n·Σx² − (Σx)²) × (n·Σy² − (Σy)²) )
Variables
rcorrelation coefficient, between -1 and +1nnumber of paired observationsΣxysum of the products of each pairr²coefficient of determination: share of variance in y explained by x
Worked example
Inputs: x = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and y = 2, 4, 5, 4, 5
- n = 5, Σx = 15, Σy = 20, Σxy = 66, Σx² = 55, Σy² = 86
- Numerator: 5(66) − 15(20) = 330 − 300 = 30
- Denominator: √((5·55 − 225) × (5·86 − 400)) = √(50 × 30) = 38.73
- 30 / 38.73
Result: r = 0.775, a strong positive linear relationship (r² = 0.60)
Notes
- Pearson detects only linear association. A perfect parabola gives r near zero, so always plot the data before trusting the coefficient.
- Correlation is not causation, and it is also not slope. A value of 0.9 says the points hug a line closely, saying nothing about how steep that line is.
- A single outlier can drive r from 0 to 0.9 in a small sample. Spearman rank correlation is the resistant alternative.
- r² is the interpretable figure for explained variance: r = 0.5 means only 25% of the variance is accounted for.
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